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  Personal Finance: Road Ahead

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 By Neil George
Personal Finance, Fall '05
Shaw Group (SGR)

Rebuilding the damaged Gulf Coast isn’t just a bet on the market. It’s the continuation of a process of rebuilding our nation’s core infrastructure that will profit those who invest for the longer haul.

During the last few years we’ve been writing about how much our nation needs to invest in its infrastructure. And while it might seem like an important topic, most folks tend to yawn and look elsewhere for their big growth stock winners.

But they’ve been missing out. The unpretentious infrastructure and construction companies have been big winners.

If asked what industry sector scored big during the last five years, most wouldn’t think construction. Yet, most folks who bought into the whole gas and oil frenzy are significantly behind those who bought dull and boring construction companies.

During the last five years, the leaders in the S&P 500 Construction & Engineering Index have generated a total return in excess of 166 percent, the annual average equivalent of around 22 percent per year.

Putting that into perspective, the general market, as tracked by the S&P 500, took away more than 15 percent of investors’ capital during the past five years. And even if you had just focused on big oil and gas companies, you beat the S&P, as tracked by the S&P Integrated Oil and Gas Index; but you lost out to infrastructure and construction by a 3-1 margin.

All it takes to see the market demand for more investment in our existing roads, airports, seaports, water systems and petroleum refining and transportation is to get on a plane, hit the road, pull into a gas station, head into a retailer or turn on the tap at the kitchen sink. These common activities underscore our argument that the base of our entire economy needs more means to simply operate, let alone expand.

The aftermath of Katrina highlights the pressing needs of our nation’s infrastructure. In the past weeks we’ve all seen the real damage wreaked on our port, oil and gas drilling, refining and transportation operations.

And rebuilding the damage from the storms and flooding isn’t just a one-time blip that will enable traders to cash in on a few companies that just happen to be in the neighborhood with an extra oil rig or some pipe and a crane. Instead, the rebuilding and subsequent expansion of the region’s infrastructure will grow.

You need to focus on companies that aren’t just local one deal wonders but are big enough to keep growing as they’ve been doing before Katrina and will do well after the media moves on to the next big story. One of our favorites involves the initial response and rebuilding.

First Responder

Getting things up and running again is a top priority. As our history of natural disasters as well as the attacks on 9/11 show, that priority includes several tricky issues: accessing the site, stabilizing the area, re-mediating the new and existing hazards—structural and physical/biological, as well as just cleaning up the mess. That’s all while moving fast enough so you’re prepared for the next disaster. This means getting the companies in line and contracted so that they’re ready and on line in short order.

Shaw Group (NYSE: SGR) is the company that Uncle Sam has used before and is using now in the Gulf to get problems under control and areas prepared for reconstruction. The company specializes in coordinating emergency response for disasters, which can include initial recovery to clean up and reconstruction. Revenues can be volatile as the company goes from contract to contract, but investors have been rewarded well, even before Katrina showed up. Shaw is a buy up to $28.50.

This Article is from the Fall 2005 Top 10 Special Report. Get the latest stock recommendations from other top financial experts today!  Request your FREE copy of the newest report from NewsletterAdvisors.com.  Click here.